Grand SlamHard● LIVE
US Open
US Open·23 Aug – 7 Sep·Outdoor·118 matches · 131 players·Defending: Carlos Alcaraz
TITLE PROBABILITY · ELO OVER THE REAL DRAW
Simulation (20,000 iterations) by real Elo over the live players in the draw: already-scheduled matchups are respected; those not yet set are averaged. Honest estimate, not odds — Elo doesn't capture surface or physical condition. Past ≠ future.
THE DRAW · ROUND OF 16 IN PLAY
T. Paul
C. Alcaraz
D. Medvedev
F. Tiafoe
A. Michelsen
T. M. Etcheverry
B. Shelton
S. Tsitsipas
F. Cerundolo
A. Blockx
A. Gea
B. Van De Zandschulp
K. Khachanov
L. Tien
Real draw (played ✓, scheduled dashed). Future rounds appear when the organizers publish them — we don't anticipate unconfirmed matchups.
THIS TOURNAMENT AMONG ACTIVE PLAYERS
MOST TITLES HERE
BEST RECORD HERE
Carlos Alcaraz22–2 · 92%
Novak Djokovic42–4 · 91%
Aryna Sabalenka30–4 · 88%
Jack Draper10–2 · 83%
Daniil Medvedev33–7 · 83%
Main draws 2013–2026 (ATP) / 2020–2026 (WTA), both tours of the event; “active” = with matches in 2025–26.